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[56]
THE EPIDEMIOLOGY OF HERPES ZOSTER AND POTENTIAL COST-EFFECTIVENESS
OF VACCINATION IN ENGLAND AND WALES There is increasing interest as to whether the live-attenuated varicella
vaccine might prevent the development of zoster through boosting cell-mediated
immunity to VZV. The aims of this paper were to quantify the epidemiology
of zoster and post-herpetic neuralgia in a typical industrialised country
(England and Wales) and to assess the potential cost-effectiveness of
mass adult vaccination against zoster. The epidemiology of herpes zoster
and post-herpetic neuralgia (PHN) was quantified from population-based
data on physician consultations and hospitalisations, as well as the analysis
of historical data-sets. The cost-effectiveness of vaccination was estimated
for various vaccine strategies and a sensitivity analysis was performed.
The annual incidence and severity of zoster increases sharply with age,
as measured by physician consultation and hospitalisation rates, average
length of stay, average proportion of cases developing PHN and the age-specific
case-fatality ratio. Combining these data with information on health related
quality of life results in an estimated loss of 20,000 Quality Adjusted
Life Years (QALYs) annually in England and Wales from herpes zoster (17,400
due to PHN). The current cost of treating herpes zoster associated disease
is estimated to be £47.6m annually. Since both the health and economic
burden are high, vaccination of the elderly is expected to be cost-effective
under most scenarios, the attractiveness of immunisation increasing with
age due to the increased burden of disease in the very elderly. |
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