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VARICELLA EPIDEMIOLOGY IN GERMANY FOR HEALTH ECONOMIC
ANALYSES
S. Wagenpfeil (1), *A. Neiss (1), A. Goertz (2), H. Bisanz (2), P.
Wutzler (3)
(1) Institute of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, Technical University
Munich, Germany; (2) SmithKline Beecham Pharma, Munich, Germany; (3)
Institute for Antiviral Chemotherapy, University Jena, Erfurt, Germany
Varicella is not a benign disease in young adults,
immunocompromised individuals, or pregnant women. Since basic epidemiological
data of varicella in Germany were not available, a retrospective study
was conducted to investigate the burden of the disease. A representative
nationwide sample of 1,334 unvaccinated varicella cases was obtained
from randomly selected pediatricians (P) and general practitioners/internists
(A). Each physician was asked to contribute five randomly selected
varicella cases occurring in 1999. Epidemiological data, medical resource
utilization, and lost days of work were obtained from medical files
via telephone interviews.
Because of the retrospective
nature of the study, we weighted the results according to the true
relationship of diagnoses from the (P) and (A) populations. Based
on the German prescription index for 1999, we computed weighted means
using factors of 0.6 (P) and 0.4 (A), respectively.
The results show that
16.3% of varicella cases take a severe course, as assessed by the
treating physician. The overall incidence of varicella-related complications
was estimated to be 6.1%. Complications accounted for an average of
0.09 hospital days per case. Certificates of disability, the most
important economic indicator, were issued for 1.31 days per case.
Of these, 0.63 days were paid by health-insurance funds to parents
caring for their sick children. Assuming an annual incidence of 750,000
cases in Germany, this would result in one million days of work leave
and indirect costs for society amounting to US$ 150 million per year.
In conclusion, the findings
suggest that introducing universal varicella vaccination in Germany
could provide significant clinical and economic benefits for society
as well as for the health-insurance funds.
Corresponding Author: Stefan Wagenpfeil, PhD., Statistician,
Institute of Medical Statistics and Epidemiology, Technical University
of Munich, Ismaninger Strasse 22, 81673 Munich, Germany